Monday, March 30, 2009
Initial Transaction - Genco Shipping & Trading (GNK)
3/30/2009 -- Bought 100 GNK @ 12.635
3/30/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GNK April $12.50 Call @ 1.36
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1263.50
Downside Coverage: 10.76%
Possible Max Upside: 10.47%
Annualized Max Upside: 125.6%
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Initial Transaction - Direxion Large Cap Bull 3x Shares
3/24/2009 -- Bought 100 BGU @ 25.395
3/24/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BGU April $29 Call @ 1.20
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2539.50
Downside Coverage: 4.7%
Possible Max Upside: 19.9%
Annualized Max Upside: 238.3%
Monday, March 23, 2009
Initial Transaction - Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x (TNA)
3/24/2009 -- Bought 100 TNA @ 17.545
3/24/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 TNA April $17.50 Call @ 2.2
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1754.50
Downside Coverage: 12.54%
Possible Max Upside: 13.75%
Annualized Max Upside: 165%
Initial Transaction - General Electric (GE)
3/23/2009 -- Bought 100 GE @ 10.185
3/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE April $11 Call @ 0.47
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1018.50
Downside Coverage: 4.61%
Possible Max Upside: 12.76%
Annualized Max Upside: 153.17%
Continuing Transaction - Direxion Financial Bull 3x
3/18/2009 -- Bought 100 FAS @ 5.58
3/18/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS March $6 Call @ .21
3/20/2009 -- March Option Expired
3/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS April $6 Call @ 1.25
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $557.50
Downside Coverage: 26%
Possible Max Upside: 35%
Annualized Max Upside: 210.1%
Friday, March 20, 2009
March 2009 Expiration Day ... Closing Transactions
- 5 positions (GE, VLO, CAT, AA, AFL) closed in-the-money. The calls were exercised and the stock was sold. Quite a few of these investments ended quite a bit in the money. The annualized gain/loss results (after commissions) were:
General Electric (GE) => +91.3%
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) => +81.97%
Caterpillar (CAT) => +63.6%
Alcoa (AA) => +57.1
Aflac (AFL) => +67.1%
- 2 positions in the portfolio (FAS and X) ended out-of-the-money. New calls will most likely be established on Monday, barring a large market decline. Both of these positions sitll offer quite large time premiums, and it is therefore the intention of this investor to sell slightl out of the money calls.
The positions in the portfolio which did not have March expirations include AT&T (T), Morgan Stanley (MS), Foster Wheeler (FWLT), Mack-Cali Realty (CLI), Johnson Controls (JCI). These positions are the following:
AT&T
200 Shares Owned
1 April $26 Call
100 shares are currently not covered
Morgan Stanley
100 Shares Owned
1 July $10 Call
Foster Wheeler
100 Shares Owned
1 August $12.50 Call
Mack-Cali Realty
600 Shares Owned
1 April $17.50 Call
1 July $22.50 Call
400 Shares Not Currently Covered
Johnson Controls
100 Shares Owned
1 April $10 Call
After Mack-Cali Realty and AT&T pass their ex-dividend dates, out-of-the money calls will be sold.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Initial Purchase - Johnson Controls
3/18/2009 -- Bought 100 FAS @ 10.1049
3/18/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS April $10 Call @ .90
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1010.49
Downside Coverage: 8.91%
Possible Max Upside: 8.15%
Annualized Max Upside: 97.8%
Direxion Financial Bull 3x Shares
3/18/2009 -- Bought 100 FAS @ 5.58
3/18/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS March $6 Call @ .21
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $553.00
Downside Coverage: 3.8%
Possible Max Upside: 11.7%
Annualized Max Upside: 140.7%
Monday, March 16, 2009
Change In Measuring Upside
(Strike Price - (Stock Price-Option Price))/(Stock Price - Option Price)
I would be interested to know if anyone else has an opinion on this topic.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Aflac - Initial Transaction
3/3/2009 -- Bought 100 AFL @ 15.7359
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 AFL March $12.5 Call @ 3.99
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1573.59
Downside Coverage: 25.37%
Possible Max Upside: 4.17%
Annualized Max Upside: 50.18%
Foster Wheeler - Intial Transaction
3/2/2009 -- Bought 100 FWLT @ 15.295
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FWLT August $12.50 Call @ 4.95
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1529.50
Downside Coverage: 32.4%
Possible Max Upside: 13.8%
Annualized Max Upside: 27.6%
General Electric (Position #2)
3/2/2009 -- Bought 100 GE @ 8.0685
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE June $5 Call @ 3.60
3/12/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 GE June $5 Call @ 4.45
3/12/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE March $9 Call @ 0.53
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $806.85
Downside Coverage: 44.62% -> None After New Call Sold
Possible Max Upside: 6.03% -> 7.02% (This is the upside after factoring in initial cost, sale price of original option, cost to buy back option, and sale price of more recent option)
Annualized Max Upside: 18.09% -> 84.24%
Friday, March 13, 2009
AT&T - Roll Up Transactions
Transaction History:
Various Dates Initial Stock Purchase -- Bought 100 T @ 25.125
2/21/2009 -- Additional Stock Purchased -- Bought T @ 23
2/25/2009 -- Initial Calls Sold -- Sold 1 T March $24 Call @ .895
2/27/2009 -- Additional Calls Sold -- Sold 1 T April $20 Call @ 3.95
3/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 T March $24 Call @ .3874
3/10/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 T April $20 Call @ 2.93
3/10/2009 -- Sold to Open 1 T April $25 Call @ .34
3/13/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 T April $25 Call @ .84
3/13/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T April $26 Call @ .39
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $4,812.50
Cost-Averaged Share Purchase Price: $24.06
After these changes, the downside coverage, and the upside changes, the new values are in bold:
Downside Coverage: 9.26% -> 2.94%
Possible Max Upside: 3.03% -> 6.97% (based on sale of the 100 shares which are still covered)
As can be seen the downside coverage has been extremely reduced, though this is due to the fact that 100 shares are currently not covered. It has been decided that there may still be some more upside left in the stock, before the market turns back around, and so a covered call will most likely be sold in the next week or so on the remaining 100 shares.
Thursday, March 12, 2009
General Electric (Position #1)
3/2/2009 -- Bought 100 GE @ 7.83
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE April $8 Call @ 1.09
3/12/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 GE April $8 Call @ 2.18
3/12/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE March $9 Call @ 0.85
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $783.00
Downside Coverage: None After New Call Sold
Possible Max Upside: 11.87% (This is the upside after factoring in initial cost, sale price of original option, cost to buy back option, and sale price of more recent option)
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Initial Purchase - Morgan Stanley
3/2/2009 -- Bought 100 MS @ 18.71
3/2/2009 -- Sold 1 MS July $10 Call @ 9.95
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1,871.00
Downside Coverage: -53.18%
Possible Max Upside: 6.39%-9.51% (The lower estimate is if the call is exercised before payment of any dividends, the higher estimate is if the stock is held through expiration and two dividends are payed)
Monday, March 9, 2009
AT&T - Transactions to Date
Various Dates Initial Stock Purchase -- Bought 100 T @ 25.125
2/21/2009 Additional Stock Purchased -- Bought T @ 23
2/25/2009 Initial Calls Sold -- Sold 1 T March $24 Call @ .895
2/27/2009 Additional Calls Sold -- Sold 1 T April $20 Call @ 3.95
3/6/2009 Bought To Close 1 T March $24 Call @ .3874
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $4,812.50
Cost-Averaged Share Purchase Price: $24.06
Downside Coverage: 9.26%
Possible Max Upside: 3.03% (based on sale of the 100 shares which are still covered)
A new covered call will be sold on the 100 shares which are no longer covered, when the stock recovers slightly. This call will most likely be out of the money, due to the current depressed share price.
Saturday, March 7, 2009
Choosing A Stock From Those That Have Met Your "Quality" Screen
1) Create an excel sheet for each stock, for the upcoming option expiration date which would look like the following:
March 2009 Covered Call (PDE) | |||||||||||||||
Current Price | $15.49 | Company | Date | Strike Price | Bid | Ask | Average | Dividend | Total Proceeds/Share | Total Proceeds | % Downside Coverage | % Max Upside | $ Max Upside | Annualized Downside | Annualized Upside |
# o Shares | 100 | PDE | Mar-09 | $10.00 | 5.5 | 5.7 | $5.60 | $5.45 | $545.00 | 35.18% | -0.26% | -$4.00 | 422.21% | -3.10% | |
Total Cost | $1,549 | PDE | Mar-09 | $12.50 | 3.2 | 3.4 | $3.30 | $3.15 | $315.00 | 20.34% | 1.03% | $16.00 | 244.03% | 12.40% | |
52-week Low | 11.38 | PDE | Mar-09 | $15.00 | 1.45 | 1.6 | $1.53 | $1.38 | $137.50 | 8.88% | 5.71% | $88.50 | 106.52% | 68.56% | |
% Above 52-Week Low | 26.53% | PDE | Mar-09 | $17.50 | 0.45 | 0.55 | $0.50 | $0.35 | $35.00 | 2.26% | 15.24% | $236.00 | 27.11% | 182.83% | |
PDE | Mar-09 | $20.00 | 0.05 | 0.15 | $0.10 | -$0.05 | -$5.00 | -0.32% | 28.79% | $446.00 | -3.87% | 345.51% |
This table includes the current price of the stock, strike prices both in-the-money, out-of-the-money, and at-the-money. It includes any dividends paid between the purchase date of the stock and the option expiration, and the current option bid/ask spread. These values allow you to calculate the "downside coverage" as well as the "maximum upside." As you can see, the greater your downside coverage (or the further the stock can fall without you losing money overall) the smaller your possible upside.
2) Once these charts are made for each of your stocks, then you have two options depending on both your time horizon for holding the stock, and your appetite for risk. If you are afraid that the stock could go down quite a bit in the short term, it may be better to sell a call which is more "in-the money" in order to have more protection in case the stock goes down. On the other hand, if you think it is more likely the stock will go up, it is better to sell an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call and reap the benefit of the call premium, as well as part of the appreciation of the stock. For the purposes of my portfolio, I do not favor one of these options over the other, it purely depends on my view of the future growth prospects of the company.
3) Now that you have an idea of which stocks have the best risk/reward profile, you must choose how long you want to hold them for. In my view, this is based on the current market conditions. In a bear market such as the one we are currently in, I am of the opinion that for short term options, it is better to sell in-the-money calls, and benefit from high downside protection, while for long term options, selling at or out of the money options, which will both decrease quickly in value (which is good for you) due to the time premium, and allow you to profit somewhat from the appreciation of the stock.
4) A key point in all of this, is to make sure that your portfolio is also somewhat diversified, so that you do not have large exposure to one area.
Covered Call Investing Strategy
1) I first screen all stocks for those which have either a S&P rating of 3,4 or 5, or have a hold, buy or strong buy average analyst rating. This screen is simply to weed out those companies which are not at least considered to be worthy enough to be held by those industry analysts which cover the stock. It is important to keep in mind when using this screen, that often times analysts are wrong. And will often continue to rate a stock as a buy, as it decreases in value, simply continuing to to lower their price targets. By using a covered call strategy, you effectively counter this fact, with a certain level of downside protection.
2) The stock you are looking at needs to have option trading associated with it. Otherwise you will not be able to sell a call on it. Oftentimes smaller cap stocks will not have options, due to the fact that they are simply not followed that well. Additionally, if companies which tend to have low trading volumes do have options, they will often have large bid/ask spreads, which result in some level of uncertainty of your potential return. (bid/ask spreads) will be explained in further posts.
3) Once a stock has met this standard, then I check to see if its current volatility is higher than its corresponding index. Normally for a covered call strategy it is better to find stocks with higher volatility because they tend to have higher time premiums, which essentially means you get a better price for the call option that you sell. However, the reason why stocks tend to have volatility is often because it is unclear whether they will go up or down, which obviously increases risk, however you decrease this risk by selling the call option.
4) Sometimes it is important to consider when a companies earnings release may be, because if it is bad, it could cause the stock to drop by 10 or more percent. However, under current market conditions, stock prices are so depressed, that this metric is not necessarily as important. In times of economic prosperity, this metric would be more important, as a bad earnings report in good economic times, could signal a company is losing its edge.
5) Another key metric to look for is dividend yield, and if the stock will pay a dividend before the next options expiration date. If it does, then you get the added return of the dividend, which both enhances returns, and provides additional downside coverage in case the stock reaches expiration date, and is below the strike price.
Look for further posts to cover how to select a specific stock, at what strike price to sell the option, and for what expiration date once it has met these standards
Opening Bell.....
Welcome Readers!
This Covered Calls Investor blog is intended to show one investors attempt to increase investing returns while decreasing overall risk. My hope is that this blog will both educate investors who seek a similar goal, as well as provide some possible investing ideas. Covered calls can provide income to an investor while waiting for a market rebound, as well as lock in gains if a stock begins to decrease in value, rather than having to purchase a put option for insurance.
Although, the purpose of this strategy is to provide both a diversified portfolio as well as using a covered call strategy, at first the focus will be on current pieces of the portfolio. The current covered call portfolio will be posted shortly, and transactions will be updated within a few days of their occurrence.
I hope those of you who read this blog will see that covered call investing is not just for conservative investors, but can also provide a consistent quality return, with much less risk than a normal equity portfolio.