Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Inital Transaction - Penn West Energy Trust (PWE) (7-21-2009)
7/21/2009 -- Bought 100 PWE @ 12.79
7/21/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 PWE August $12.50 Call @ 0.6
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Cost Basis: 12.19
Potential Gain If Called At Ex-Div Date: 2.13%
Potential Annualized Gain If Called At Ex-Div Date: 129.75%
Thursday, July 23, 2009
July 2009 Expiration Day
- 3 positions (CLI, COP, GE) closed in-the-money. The calls were exercised and the stock was sold. This was not surprising to me as many of my positions had decreased substantially in July and wouldve had to rally upwards of 10% from their bottoms in the month to hit their strikes. However, these two positions did provide a good amount of cash for investing. Additionally, my cash position had already risen to about 10% of the CCIP by expiration. The annualized gain/loss results (after commissions) were:
Mack-Cali Realty => +112.74%
United States Natural Gas => +88.48%
General Electric => +49.77%
- 1 positions in the portfolio (BBY) ended out-of-the-money. Best Buy has made quite a comeback since its fall after releasing earnings, but still has a ways to go to get back to my cost basis.
Best Buy (BBY) - $36.18
100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $35.66
This position will be kept, due to the fact that it is the primary electronics retailer in the US, and although some may believe Walmart is beginning to encroach on Best Buy's customers I believe that the consumers are more likely to make big ticket purchases such as new TV's and stereos at a store which is targeted specifically for that application. Although I am of the opinion that Best Buy's employees are not the best when it comes to product knowledge they are significantly better than Walmart. Lastly, the recent Apple earnings show that computers are being purchased, and whether a consumer chooses a Mac or a PC, they can get it at Best Buy.
The positions in the portfolio which did not have June expirations include:
Mack-Cali Realty (CLI) (200 Shares) - No Current Coverage
AT&T (T) (200 Shares) - No Current Coverage
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) - August $22 Covered Call
Best Buy (BBY) - No Current Coverage
Continental Airlines (CAL) - August $11 Covered Call
Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) - August $30 Covered Call
United States Natural Gas (UNG) - August $15 Covered Call, August $13 CSP
Regency Centers (REG) - August $30 Covered Call
Direxion 3x Financial Bull (FAS) - August $10 Covered Call (Pre-Split)
Update Transaction - Mack-Cali Realty (CLI) (7-16-2009)
Various -- Bought 100 CLI @ 22.90
2/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 0.4592
3/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 0.1408
4/1/2009 – CLI Dividend @ .45
4/9/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 2.1426
4/24/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 4.9474
4/24/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CLI June $30 Call @ 1.9325
5/7/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CLI June $30 Call @ 0.60
5/7/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CLI June $25 Call @ 1.5926
6/11/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CLI June $25 Call @ 0.25
7/1/2009 - Dividend @ .45
7/16/2009 - Sold To Open 1 CLI August $25 Call @ 0.9925
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2290.00
Downside Coverage From Current Price: 13.6%
Possible Max Upside: 16.63%
Annualized Max Upside: 33.72%
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Closing Transaction - Direxion 3x Financial (FAS) (7-15-2009)
4/17/2009 -- Bought 100 FAS @ 9.745
4/17/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS May $8 Call @ 2.65
5/7/2009 – Bought To Close 1 FAS May $8 Call @ 3.55
5/7/2009 – Sold To Open 1 FAS May $10 Call @ 1.95
5/15/2009 – May $9 Call Expired
5/18/2009 – Sold To Open 1 FAS June $11 Call @ 0.956/15/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 FAS June $11 Call @ 0.25
6/15/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 FAS July $11 Call @ 0.90
6/22/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 FAS July $11 Call @ 0.35
6/30/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.01128
7/15/2009 -- Sold 100 FAS @ 49.50 (9.90)
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $974.50
Final Profit (%): 34.76%
Final Profit ($): $246.63
Annualized Profit (%): 142.56%
Update Transaction - AT&T (T) (7-15-2009)
Transaction History:
2/21/2009 -- Additional Stock Purchased -- Bought T @ 23
2/27/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T April $20 Call @ 3.95
3/10/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 T April $20 Call @ 2.93
3/10/2009 -- Sold to Open 1 T April $25 Call @ .34
3/13/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 T April $25 Call @ .84
3/13/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T April $26 Call @ .39
4/7/2009 -- AT&T Dividend @ .41
4/17/2009 -- Covered Call Expire
4/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T May $27 @ .43
5/15/2009 -- Covered Call Expire
5/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T Oct $27 @ .65
6/19/2009 -- Call Expired
7/8/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.41
7/15/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 T August $25 @ 0.3
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2300.00
Downside Coverage (based on current share price): 17%
Possible Max Upside: 24.51%
Annualized Max Upside: 49.16%
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Update Transaction - General Electric (GE)
I will attempt to sell another CSP in GE after they release they're earnings on friday. Most likely with a $12 strike, unless the stock pops or drops in either direction. The current performance metrics are below:
5/27/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 GE June $12 Put @ 0.32
7/15/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 GE July $12 Put @ 0.3574
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Current Put Sale Profit: $25.26
Closing Transaction - Intel (INTC)
6/10/2009 -- Bought 100 INTC @ 16.28
6/10/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 INTC July $17 Call @ 0.44
7/15/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 INTC July $17 Call @ 1.05
7/15/2009 -- Sold 100 INTC @ 17.9927
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1584.00
Final Profit: 6.96
Annualized Profit: 74.73
Sunday, July 12, 2009
Update Transaction - Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) (7-9-2009)
5/20/2009 -- Bought 100 ANR @ 29.26
5/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR June $32.50 Call @ 1.24
5/20/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 ANR June $20 Put @ .3
5/21/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR June $32.50 Call @ .55
5/22/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR June $27.50 Call @ 1.45
5/27/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $27.50 Call @ 2.18
5/27/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR $30 June Call @ 1.09
6/16/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $30 June Call @ 0.15
6/16/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 ANR $20 June Put @ 0.5
6/25/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR $30 August Call @ 1.90
7/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $30 August Call @ 0.5
7/9/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR $30 August Call @ 0.75
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2926.00
Current Cost Basis: $27.01
Maximum Downside Risk (due to Put): 26%
Downside Coverage: None
Possible Max Upside: 10.67%
Annualized Max Upside: 41.44%
Update Transaction - Mack-Cali Realty (CLI) (7-7-2009)
Various -- Bought 100 CLI @ 22.90
2/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 0.4592
3/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CLI July $25 Call @ 0.1408
4/1/2009 – CLI Dividend @ .45
4/9/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CLI May $22.5 Call @ 2.8925
5/15/2009 – May $22.5 Call Expired
5/18/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CLI June $22.50 Call @ 1.8925
6/19/2009 - June $22.50 Call Expired
7/1/2009 - Dividend @ .45
7/7/2009 - Sold To Open 1 CLI August $22.50 Call @ 1.1425
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2290.00
Downside Coverage From Current Price: 25.9%
Possible Max Upside: 28.06%
Annualized Max Upside: 56.89%
Tuesday, July 7, 2009
Update Transaction - Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) (7-6-2009)
5/20/2009 -- Bought 100 ANR @ 29.26
5/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR June $32.50 Call @ 1.24
5/20/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 ANR June $20 Put @ .3
5/21/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR June $32.50 Call @ .55
5/22/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR June $27.50 Call @ 1.45
5/27/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $27.50 Call @ 2.18
5/27/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR $30 June Call @ 1.09
6/16/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $30 June Call @ 0.15
6/16/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 ANR $20 June Put @ 0.5
6/25/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 ANR $30 August Call @ 1.90
7/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 ANR $30 August Call @ 0.5
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2926.00
Current Cost Basis: $27.76
Maximum Downside Risk (due to Put): 28%
Downside Coverage: None
Possible Max Upside: Unlimited
Annualized Max Upside: Unlimited
Update Transaction - United States Natural Gas (UNG) (7-17-2009)
6/10/2009 -- Bought 100 UNG @ 14.50
6/10/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG July $15 Call @ 0.97
7/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 UNG July $15 Call @ 0.15
7/17/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG August $15 Call @ 0.45
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1353.00
Downside Coverage (from current price): None
Possible Max Upside: 13.08%
Annualized Max Upside: 66.32%
Saturday, July 4, 2009
June 2009 Results
In my opinion, the market over reacted the these job numbers. For one, they included all of the auto workers who have been idled since GM entered bankruptcy. Secondly, the unemployment rate itself was better than expected. Lastly, it is unrealistic to assume that this recovery will be straight up; there are going to be blips along the way. Over the next few weeks the market will be driven very much so by the earnings reports which start next week. If earnings are mixed to better than expected I think the market will be ok, if they are mostly below expectations, we may be looking at a move back towards 800 if not 700. So lets hope for everyone's sake that this does not happen.
The portfolio continues to beat the market since its inception (by about 14.5%). The chart below presents the monthly performance of the CCIP for June, as well as the performance of the portfolio since inception.
Portfolio Results
The 2009 Since Inception results are as follows:
1. Since Inception Results
CCIP Absolute Return (March 7 through June 30, 2009) = 46.09%
Benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) Absolute Return (March 7 through June 30, 2009) = 31.51%
The CCIP has outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark by a total of 14.58%
July 2009 Next Steps
The month of July is going to be very interesting for both the market and the CCIP portfolio. As earnings season begins, the market is likely to become much more volatile, which could be an advantage for option premium selling, but also cause wild fluctuations in stock prices. In terms of strategy for the CCIP, it is somewhat centered around a current strategy of selling both near month calls as well as 2-month out calls. About half of the current portfolio is in July calls, while half is in August calls. This will make expiration for July much less difficult in terms of finding new positions, but also makes it so that no additional option premiums will be had for many of the positions. This strategy was born mostly out of the fact that quite a few positions in the CCIP had fallen precipitously and so in order to sell a call above the original purchase price, it had to be done for August rather than July.
For those positions in with options expiring in July, much will depend on if the market declines until expiration, because I may face the same issue when it comes to whether to sell August calls or September calls. One thing which will give a boost to the CCIP this month is dividend payments which will tack an additional 1% onto the performance of the CCIP in July.
The strategy for establishing covered calls positions after July expiration will be as follows, and is similar to the rationale for establishing July calls earlier this month, based on the closing price of the S&P 500 on July expiration, July 17, 2009:
If S&P 500 is between 750 and 850, initial earnings reports have most likely been below expectations and the market is moving towards retesting lows. This will likely result in the sale of September calls for positions expiring in July, and possibly the buy back of calls sold for August. As far as new positions go, if there is any cash, I may sell cash-covered puts to buy in at lower prices if the market continues to decline, but still make money if the market rebounds.
If S&P 500 is between 850 and 950, we have most likely survived the first week of earnings without too much of a hitch, and some of the July covered calls should be called away. In this case I will likely establish either covered calls or cash-secured puts depending on which is positioned to yield a greater result.
If S&P 500 is above 950, we have most likely seen better than expected earnings. This would probably result in all the July calls being called away (maybe not Best Buy), and some of the August covered call positions being substantially in the money, which may result in may closing some of the positions, or rolling them up.
Initial Transaction -United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) (7-2-2009)
7/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG August $13 Put @ 1.15
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Put Sale Profit: $115.00
Downward Movement Required (Put Sold When UNG@13.04): 0.3%
Possible Max Upside: 8.85%
Annualized Max Upside: 64.58%
Dividend Update - Best Buy (BBY) (7-2-2009)
6/12/2009 -- Bought 100 BBY @ 37.54
6/12/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BBY July $39 Call @ 1.54
6/12/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 BBY June $35 Put @ 0.6
6/18/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 BBY July $39 Call @ 0.50
6/18/2009 -- Sold To Close 1 BBY June $35 Put @ 1.1
6/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BBY July $38 Call @ 0.20
7/2/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.14
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $3660.00
Downside Coverage: None
Possible Max Upside: 6.5%
Annualized Max Upside: 65.9%
Dividend Update - Mack-Cali Realty (CLI) (7-1-2009)
Various -- Bought 100 Shares of CLI @ 21.18
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 July $22.50 Call @ 1.2225
3/10/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 July $22.50 Call @ 1
4/1/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.45
4/3/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 May $22.50 Call @ 2.50
5/15/2009 -- May $22.50 Expired
5/18/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 June $25 Call @ 0.95
6/19/2009 -- June $25 Call Expired
6/22/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 July $22.50 Call @ 0.75
7/1/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.45
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2118.00
Downside Coverage (based on current price, 23): 31.2%
Possible Max Upside: 33.52%
Annualized Max Upside: 88.66%
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
Dividend Update - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) (7-1-2009)
4/6/2009 -- Bought 100 BMY @ 20.48
4/6/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BMY April $21 Call @ .34
4/17/2009 -- Covered Call Expired
4/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BMY May $21 Call @ .65
4/29/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 BMY May $21 Call @ .11
5/12/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BMY June $21 Call @ .55
5/27/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 BMY June $21 Call @ .18
6/25/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 BMY August $22 Call @ .35
7/1/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.31
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2048.00
Downside Coverage (from current price of $20.14): 7.8%
Possible Max Upside: 17.03%
Annualized Max Upside: 45.05%
Closing Transaction - Mack-Cali Realty (CLI) (6-30-2009)
Various -- Bought 100 CLI @ 18.80
3/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CLI July $22.5 Call @ 1.2225
4/1/2009 – CLI Dividend @ .45
4/16/2009 – Bought To Close 1 CLI July $22.5 Call @ 4.45
4/16/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CLI May $25 Call @ 1.7
5/15/2009 – May $25 Call Expired
5/18/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CLI June $22.50 Call @ 2.75
6/19/2009 - June $22.50 Call Expired
6/23/2009 - Sold To Open 1 CLI July $20.00 Call @ 1.70
6/30/2009 - Stock Called @ 20.00
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1880.00
Total Upside: 26.01%
Annualized Max Upside: 79.12%
Update Transaction - Continental Airlines (CAL) (6-25-2009)
4/14/2009 -- Bought 100 CAL @ 12.225
4/17/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CAL May $11 Call @ 2.17
5/15/2009 – May $11 Call Expired
5/18/2009 – Sold To Open 1 CAL June $11 Call @ 1.05
5/27/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CAL June $11 Call @ 0.3
6/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CAL June $11 Call @ 0.65
6/12/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 CAL June $11 Call @ 0.10
6/25/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 CAL August $11 Call @ 0.50
The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1222.50
Downside Coverage From Current Price (8.55): 3.5%
Possible Max Upside: 27.3%
Annualized Max Upside: 76.7%