Update Transaction - Intrepid Potash (IPI)

As the market continues to think about which direction it wants to go in, the agricultural stocks decided to move higher. As a result I rolled forward my November call position in IPI to December as the stock continues to have pretty high premiums, and has stayed somewhat detached from overall market movements as of late. I think this is a relatively good long term holding as potash companies should be seeing a rebound in demand sometime in the next 12 months as a result of the necessity of their product. Farmers cant go without fertilizer for too long without ill effects. My general rule for rolling a call to the next month is that I must maintain or increase my annualized gain, in this case I kept it almost exactly the same. The new profit/loss info is below:

7/30/2009 -- Bought 100 IPI @ 26.70
7/30/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 IPI $27 August Call @ 1.54
7/30/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 IPI $22 August Put @ 0.45
8/21/2009 -- Call Expired
8/24/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 IPI $28 September Call @ 0.7
8/26/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 IPI $21 September Put @ 0.25
8/31/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 IPI $28 September Call @ 0.10
8/31/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 IPI $27 October Call @ 0.50
10/1/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 IPI $27 October Call @ 0.10
10/8/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 IPI $27 November Call @ 0.70
11/12/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 IPI $27 November Call @ 0.71
11/12/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 IPI $27 December Call @ 1.41

The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $2561.00
Current Cost Average: $23.46

Previous Max Upside: 11.29%
New Possible Max Upside: 14.07%

Previous Annualized Max Upside:36.14%
Annualized Max Upside: 36.17%

Initial Transaction - Applied Materials (AMAT)

Today I decided to open a second position in Applied Materials (AMAT). This position is a cash-secured put, which basically means that I have sold the right for someone to sell me 100 shares of AMAT at $13/share at December expiration, if the stock price is below that. The position in Applied Materials was opened as it continues to be at multi-year lows. The company has unfortunately had some negative earnings as of late, but I believe the stock has alot of upside potential in the future due to its work in the semiconductor area (it profits regardless of whose chip is used), as well as the solar area which should benefit from legislation and regulation in the next few years once all of this health care debate is over. The company yields about 2% as noted in my previous position on it. The profit/loss info is below:

11/11/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 AMAT December $13 Put @ 0.55

The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Cost Basis: N/A

Potential Gain If Called At Expiration: 4.23%
Potential Annualized Gain If Called At Expiration: 40.64%

Update Transaction - United States Natural Gas (UNG)(3)

The information regarding this transaction is noted in the previous post on UNG from today. This position is now uncovered, and protected on the downside with a $9 put. The new profit/loss info is below:

6/10/2009 -- Bought 100 UNG @ 14.50
6/10/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG July $15 Call @ 0.97
7/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 UNG July $15 Call @ 0.15
7/17/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG August $15 Call @ 0.45
8/22/2009 -- Call Expired
8/28/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 UNG October $10 Put @ 0.65
9/1/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG January $14 Call @ 0.50
9/2/2009 -- Sold To Close 1 UNG October $10 Put @ 0.95
11/6/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 UNG January $14 Call @ 0.18
11/6/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 UNG December $9 Put @ 0.41


The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1353.00

Possible Max Upside: N/A

Annualized Max Upside: N/A

Update Transaction - United States Natural Gas (UNG) (2)

Information regarding this transaction is noted in the previous post on UNG. The performance metrics are below:

7/23/2009 -- Bought 100 UNG @ 13.14
7/23/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG July $13 Call @ 0.88
8/22/2009 -- Call Expired
8/30/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG October $14 @ 0.25
9/2/2009 -- Bought To Close 1 UNG October $14 @ 0.18
9/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG January $12 @ 0.68
9/10/2009 - Bought To Close 1 UNG January $12 @ 0.9
9/10/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG January $13 @ 1.29
11/6/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 UNG December $9 Put @ 0.41

The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Stock Purchase Cost: $1353.00

Downside Coverage: Covered below $9

Possible Max Upside: 2.14%

Annualized Max Upside: 4.39%

Update Transaction - United States Natural Gas (UNG)

As per the norm, UNG continues to drag down the CCIP at some points, and pull it up at others. UNG has plummeted from the $12 mark it was near at October expiration to near $9.50. As a result I decided to buy some December $9 put protection for all three positions, as well as buying back a January call for one of the positions which will be noted in another post. The new profit/loss info is below:

7/2/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG August $13 Put @ 1.15
8/21/2009 -- Stock Purchase @ $13
8/24/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG October $13 Call @ 0.60
9/2/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 UNG October $8 Put @ .4275
10/16/2009 -- Option Expiration
10/20/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 UNG November $12 Call @ .45
11/6/2009 -- Bought To Open 1 UNG December $9 Put @ 0.41


The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Purchase Price: $1190.00

Possible Max Upside: 2.63%

Annualized Max Upside: 6.75%

Dividend - Intel (INTC) (11/4/2009)

This is simply an update to the Intel position which notes the passing of the ex-dividend date. The new profit/loss info is below:

10/21/2009 -- Bought 100 INTC @ 19.795
10/21/2009 -- Sold To Open 1 INTC December $19 Call @ 1.14
11/4/2009 -- Dividend @ 0.14

The important purchase metrics are below for insight into possible profit and loss (these all include commissions):
Cost Basis: $1865.50

Potential Annualized Gain If Called At Expiration (12/19/2009): 14.43%

Downside Protection: 6.5%

October 2009 Results

The month of October was the second negative month for the CCIP. The overall market was essentially flat for the month, though the benchmark SPY ETF was down slightly. Premiums have stayed low, as the VIX has continued to stay pretty low throughout the month. As I have been implementing my new investing strategy over the past month and a half I have noticed some interesting things in the movement of the account. Although I have not been “beating” the benchmark by very much my volatility has been much lower. The average daily move in the CCIP has been 0.7% in the month of October vs. 1.18% in the SPY (the median was also better, 0.69% vs. 1.08%). As one of my goals in the CCIP is to make it a better investment vehicle for those who don’t like to see huge swings in account value, this is very promising. In terms of individual positions, I continue to try to move out of my positions in UNG, and hopefully that will happen in the next few months. At least in this case, natural gas prices can’t go to 0, so my potential loss is not unlimited.

I have also started to track other metrics recently to judge the performance of the CCIP. One of these metrics is to understand the overall “profit yield” in the portfolio. The “profit yield” normalizes the potential returns of each position on an annualized basis to determine an overall portfolio potential annualized return. My goal is to keep this number above 25%, and it currently stands at 28.65%. I will report this number with each monthly update from now on.

The 2009 Since Inception results are as follows:

1. Since Inception Results

CCIP Absolute Return (March 7 through October 31, 2009) = 56.77%

Benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) Absolute Return (March 7 through October 31, 2009) = 48.11%

The CCIP has outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark by a total of 8.66%

November 2009 Next Steps

The month of November is bound to be full of surprises, as it seems that the rally is losing steam. Lately, I have also heard a lot of talk about a head and shoulders pattern beginning to form, which could mean a large drop in the market in the near future. As a result of this uncertainty, I have started moving some of my money into more stable companies, which have strong dividends and are less dependent on an improving economy. As I noted above, my current strategy aims for a portfolio annualized return of 25%, however this is adjusted downwards from where it stood at the beginning of the month, which was 35%.

As of right now, my current strategies for the CCIP include:

• Near-month covered calls
• Long-term covered calls
• Ex-dividend Strategy
• Cash-Secured Put Strategy
• Put Spread Strategy

The strategy for establishing covered calls positions after November expiration will depend on what positions close ITM at expiration. I will establish new positions based upon my annualized return asset allocation strategy in order to hit an overall portfolio return of 25%.

As always, please post any thoughts or questions you have regarding the CCIP and the posts on the blog.