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Sunday, November 22, 2009

November Expiration Day

The Covered Calls Investor Portfolio contained a total of 7 positions with November 2009 expirations, and 10 positions either with a Non-November expiration or no current covered call. The 7 positions with November expiration had the following results:

- 3 positions (MHP, TZA, OCR) closed in-the-money.
The calls were exercised and the stock was sold. OCR was established this month, and TZA and MHP was a holdover from the last few expirations. The annualized gain/loss results (after commissions) were:

McGraw-Hill (MHP) => 29.42% (Held Since 8/21/2009)
Direxion 3x Small Cap Bear => 18.7% (Held Since 9/14/2009)
Omnicare (OCR) => 36.51% (Held Since 9/29/2009)

- 4 positions in the portfolio (UNG, AMAT, FLR, JACK) ended out-of-the-money. As is the norm with UNG, it yet again ended OTM.


United States Natural Gas (UNG) - $9.01
100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $11.185

I will continue to sell calls against all of my positions in UNG, while I wait for the price of natural gas to rebound. I do realize that this will take quite a while, but I consider this position to be a longer-term covered call position.

Applied Materials (AMAT) - $12.28
100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $12.57

This position is one which I plan to hold for quite a well as well. The stock was pushed down as part of the sector downgrade which the semiconductor sector received this week. I believe the stock is still a good holding on a fundamental basis as it recently crushed earnings. I will continue to hold the position and sell a new call.

Fluor (FLR) - $44.32
100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $45.37

After reporting lackluster earnings, FLR dropped from about $48 to under $45. Unfortunately, with the market declining in recent days, FLR has not been able to regain any of its lossed, even though it has been bordering on oversold territory for a few days. I will continue to hold the position and sell a new call.

Jack In The Box (JACK) - $18.55
100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $19.10

Similar to Fluor, Jack In The Box recently reported earnings, and was obliterated from above $20 to down to $18 due to a dissapointing outlook, even though current quarter earnings beat estimates. I believe the company is still in the midst of moving from a non-franchise to franchise model, and thus will continue to be a turnaround play in the CCIP. I will be selling a new call on the position.


The positions in the portfolio which did not have October expirations include:

United States Natural Gas (UNG)(300 Shares) - December $9 Covered Call, January $13 Covered Call, 1 position uncovered

Intrepid Potash (IPI)(100 Shares) - December $27 Covered Call

MEMC Electronics (WFR) (100 Shares) - Uncovered

Intel (INTC) (100 Shares) - December $19 Covered Call

Applied Materials - 1 December $13 CSP

Gamestop (GME) (100 Shares) - December $24 Covered Call

Verizon (VZ) (100 Shares) - April $31 Covered Call

New York Community Bancorp (NYB) (100 Shares) - April $12 Covered Call


2 comments:

  1. United States Natural Gas (UNG) - $9.01
    100 Shares with Current Cost Basis of $11.185

    "I will continue to sell calls against all of my positions in UNG, while I wait for the price of natural gas to rebound. I do realize that this will take quite a while, but I consider this position to be a longer-term covered call position."

    How well do you think UNG will track the actual price of NatGas? The repurchase of futures each month has to play singificantly on the expense side of UNG.

    Tom C.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Tom,

    This is a very good question. UNG has had a tracking issue in comparison with the price of natural gas. This issue was further demonstrated when UNG was unable to issue new shares at one point in October, causing the premium to NAV for the fund to skyrocket above 25%. There is going to be an issue with "contango" when the fund rolls over its monthly contracts, however, I believe that its impact is low. I also think that the upside potential is higher for UNG in regards to tracking, because if the fund runs into issuance problems again, it will cause the premium to go up again (which is currently only at 2.5%) which means UNG will go up even if natural gas is not.

    I hope that answers your question.

    Jake

    ReplyDelete